South Park: Episode, Oct 16, 2025
Kalshi What will the South Park characters say during the next episode?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: any character Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hell | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Baby | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kalshi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Brainrot / Brain Rot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palantir | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Labubu | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tylenol | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Israel | No | 10%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 10%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSOUTHPARKMENTION-25OCT16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP