South Park: Episode, Sep 16, 2026

By Sep 16EpisodeHistory onlySouth Park

Updated

Markets

12 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Kenny 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Six Seven No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Cartman 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Crazy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gay / Homosexual No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gulf of America No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
JD / Vance No–new new word, no probability yet–
Lake America No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sport No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency No13%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-first-episode-of-south-park-season-29-20260916 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP