South Park: Episode, Oct 15, 2025
Polymarket What will be said during South Park on October 15?
Markets
21 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Satan 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jew 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netanyahu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tegrity / Techrity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Donald / Trump 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Labubu | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Killed Kenny | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tylenol | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Palestine | No | 12%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-south-park-on-october-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP