Will “ICE” be said on South Park next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was not said on South Park in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

12%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any character
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
any character
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=south-park&word=ice

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

South Park

ICE

Probability
12% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)

Next listing counts: any character

We don’t have transcripts for South Park yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the third episode of South Park: Season 29? · not listed

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What will be said during the second episode of South Park: Season 29? · not listed

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What will be said during the first episode of South Park: Season 29? · not listed

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What will any South Park character say during next South Park episode? · settled no

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What will the South Park characters say during the next episode? · settled no

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What will be said during South Park on October 15? · settled no

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What will the South Park characters say during the prediction market episode? · settled no

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What will Eric Cartman say during the South Park - Season 27 Episode 3? · not listed

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What will Eric Cartman as Charlie Kirk say on South Park tonight? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 30, 2025ICEKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025ICEKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2025ICEPolymarketNo
Sep 24, 2025ICEPolymarketNo
Sep 24, 2025ICEKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “ICE” said on South Park?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was not said on South Park in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 24, 2025.
What is the probability “ICE” is said on South Park next time?
12%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any character.

Cite parrot.markets, “South Park: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/south-park/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=south-park&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=south-park&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP