Will “First Time / First Timer” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “First Time / First Timer” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday Night Live
First Time / First Timer
- Probability
- 21% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | First Time / First Timer |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 25, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “First Time / First Timer” said on Saturday Night Live?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “First Time / First Timer” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “First Time / First Timer” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘First Time / First Timer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/first-time-or-first-timer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=first%20time%20%2F%20first%20timer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP