Toll Brothers (TOL)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 22:32 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 25 word markets on Toll Brothers’ earnings calls since 2026, on 18 different words.

History Wall

1–18 of 18, most settled first

Toll Brothers: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Q4’24Dec '24	Q1’25Feb '25	Q2’25May '25	Q3’25Aug '25	Q4’25Dec '25	Q1’26Feb '26	Q2’26May '26	Q3’26last call	Trend	Last 8	Scripted	All-time	Probability
Buffington / Arkansas	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q1’25 Feb '25	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q2’25 May '25	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q3’25 Aug '25	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q4’25 Dec '25	0 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q1’26 Feb '26	9 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	4 times: Buffington / Arkansas, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	rising	2/825%	1/812%	2/743%	78%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Customize / Customization	0 times: Customize / Customization, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Customize / Customization, Q1’25 Feb '25	1 time: Customize / Customization, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: Customize / Customization, Q3’25 Aug '25	0 times: Customize / Customization, Q4’25 Dec '25	2 times: Customize / Customization, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	1 time: Customize / Customization, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Customize / Customization, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	rising	4/850%	2/825%	18/7424%	67%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Lumber	0 times: Lumber, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Lumber, Q1’25 Feb '25	0 times: Lumber, Q2’25 May '25	0 times: Lumber, Q3’25 Aug '25	0 times: Lumber, Q4’25 Dec '25	1 time: Lumber, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	2 times: Lumber, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	2 times: Lumber, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	rising	3/838%	2/825%	37/7450%	67%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Apartment	3 times: Apartment, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	4 times: Apartment, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	2 times: Apartment, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: Apartment, Q3’25 Aug '25	9 times: Apartment, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	2 times: Apartment, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	1 time: Apartment, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	0 times: Apartment, Q3’26 Aug '26	falling	6/875%	6/875%	51/7469%	69%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tariff	2 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	1 time: Tariff, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	4 times: Tariff, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	1 time: Tariff, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Dec '25	1 time: Tariff, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	1 time: Tariff, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	0 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Aug '26	falling	6/875%	3/838%	10/7414%	43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Buyback	1 time: Buyback, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	0 times: Buyback, Q1’25 Feb '25	0 times: Buyback, Q2’25 May '25	0 times: Buyback, Q3’25 Aug '25	3 times: Buyback, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	0 times: Buyback, Q1’26 Feb '26	0 times: Buyback, Q2’26 May '26	0 times: Buyback, Q3’26 Aug '26	steady	2/825%	2/825%	30/7441%	29%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
California	0 times: California, Q4’24 Dec '24	1 time: California, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	2 times: California, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: California, Q3’25 Aug '25	3 times: California, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	2 times: California, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	0 times: California, Q2’26 May '26	0 times: California, Q3’26 Aug '26	steady	4/850%	3/838%	63/7485%	41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Cash Buyer / All Cash	4 times: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	2 times: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	4 times: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	1 time: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	2 times: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	1 time: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	1 time: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Cash Buyer / All Cash, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	falling	8/8100%	8/8100%	36/7449%	80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Dividend	4 times: Dividend, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	0 times: Dividend, Q1’25 Feb '25	1 time: Dividend, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	3 times: Dividend, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	4 times: Dividend, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	0 times: Dividend, Q1’26 Feb '26	1 time: Dividend, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	2 times: Dividend, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	falling	6/875%	6/875%	32/7443%	75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Florida	4 times: Florida, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	1 time: Florida, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	1 time: Florida, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: Florida, Q3’25 Aug '25	1 time: Florida, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	1 time: Florida, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	6 times: Florida, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Florida, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	steady	7/888%	4/850%	57/7477%	81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Incentive	13 times: Incentive, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	11 times: Incentive, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	12 times: Incentive, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	8 times: Incentive, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	10 times: Incentive, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	7 times: Incentive, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	10 times: Incentive, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	12 times: Incentive, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	8/8100%	53/7472%	95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Land Bank / Land Banking	1 time: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	2 times: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	3 times: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q3’25 Aug '25	1 time: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	2 times: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	3 times: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Land Bank / Land Banking, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	steady	7/888%	4/850%	26/7435%	79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Mortgage	11 times: Mortgage, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	3 times: Mortgage, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	8 times: Mortgage, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	2 times: Mortgage, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	5 times: Mortgage, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	1 time: Mortgage, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	2 times: Mortgage, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	3 times: Mortgage, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	falling	8/8100%	8/8100%	72/7497%	87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Spec Home	4 times: Spec Home, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	4 times: Spec Home, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	4 times: Spec Home, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	7 times: Spec Home, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	2 times: Spec Home, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	5 times: Spec Home, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	5 times: Spec Home, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said	4 times: Spec Home, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	8/8100%	31/7442%	90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Headwind	0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Headwind, Q1’25 Feb '25	0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 May '25	0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Aug '25	1 time: Headwind, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	1 time: Headwind, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	0 times: Headwind, Q2’26 May '26	1 time: Headwind, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said	rising	3/838%	1/812%	9/7412%	43%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Millennial	1 time: Millennial, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said	1 time: Millennial, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said	0 times: Millennial, Q2’25 May '25	1 time: Millennial, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said	1 time: Millennial, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	2 times: Millennial, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	0 times: Millennial, Q2’26 May '26	0 times: Millennial, Q3’26 Aug '26	falling	5/862%	4/850%	33/7445%	40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Move-Up Buyer	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q1’25 Feb '25	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q2’25 May '25	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q3’25 Aug '25	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q4’25 Dec '25	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q1’26 Feb '26	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q2’26 May '26	0 times: Move-Up Buyer, Q3’26 Aug '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	4/745%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tailwind	0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Dec '24	0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Feb '25	4 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said	0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Aug '25	2 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said	1 time: Tailwind, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said	0 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 May '26	0 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Aug '26	falling	3/838%	2/825%	17/7423%	35%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts

• times said on that call
• counted as said (ring)
• no call
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Trend

how the count moved over these calls

Scripted

calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks

All-time

every call on file

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Toll Brothers (TOL): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/toll-brothers · words: /api/v1/history?entity=toll-brothers · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP