Will Toll Brothers say “Buyback”?

Toll Brothers did not say “Buyback” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Buyback” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

29%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Toll Brothers

Buyback

Probability
29% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 9, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Douglas YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…of the year. We also paid $97 million in dividends. Dividends and buybacks have been and will continue to be an important part of our…

Alan RatnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…you on the spot and then hop off. Just on the share buyback guide for $650 million. So pretty flat with the past year. If…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 10, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Douglas C. YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…half the company since 2016. We also paid $93 million in dividends. Buybacks and dividends will remain an important part of our capital allocation priorities…

John LovalloanalystqaIn transcript

…projected to be about the same year-over-year, why is the intent to buy back less stock, the 500 million versus the 628 million that you…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 19, 2026BuybackKalshiNo0
May 20, 2026BuybackKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Toll Brothers say “Buyback” on its last earnings call?
Toll Brothers did not say “Buyback” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Toll Brothers say “Buyback”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Buyback” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026.
What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Buyback” next time?
29%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Buyback’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/buyback (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=buyback · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP