Will Toll Brothers say “Buffington / Arkansas”?

Toll Brothers said “Buffington / Arkansas” 4 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 9, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Buffington / Arkansas” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

78%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Toll Brothers

Buffington / Arkansas

Probability
78% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karl MistrycompanyqaIn transcript

Hey, Rafe. We are super excited about Buffington. They joined our team in May. We've had a typical summer. They have contributed with about half…

Karl MistrycompanyqaIn transcript

Hey, Alex. Buffington, again, we're super excited. We got to spend some time there in the spring and understand Northwest Arkansas. I think we were…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

9 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karl MistrycompanypreparedIn transcript

…year with 480-490 selling communities, including the communities we acquired in the Buffington Homes transaction, which closed earlier this month. We plan to grow community…

Karl MistrycompanypreparedIn transcript

…host of terrific other companies, the Fayetteville-Bentonville market is vibrant and growing. Buffington Homes is the leading builder of luxury homes in the area, and…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 9, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 10, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 19, 2026Buffington / ArkansasKalshiYes4
May 20, 2026Buffington / ArkansasKalshiYes9

Questions

How many times did Toll Brothers say “Buffington / Arkansas” on its last earnings call?
Toll Brothers said “Buffington / Arkansas” 4 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 9, 4 times.
How often does Toll Brothers say “Buffington / Arkansas”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Buffington / Arkansas” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026.
What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Buffington / Arkansas” next time?
78%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Buffington / Arkansas’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/arkansa-or-buffington (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=arkansa%20%2F%20buffington · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP