Will Toll Brothers say “Spec Home”?
Toll Brothers said “Spec Home” 4 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 4, 7, 2, 5, 5, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Spec Home” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Toll Brothers
Spec Home
- Probability
- 90% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…inventory. During the third quarter, we continued to reduce our inventory of spec homes. At quarter end, finished specs averaged 1.9 homes per community, down…
Our objective is to sell spec homes as early as possible in the construction cycle, when incentives are typically lower and customers have greater opportunities…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…also benefiting from the breadth of our offerings, which is the widest in the industry and includes a balanced mix of built-to-order and spec homes.
…25% of our average base sales price. Given our focus on selling spec homes earlier in the construction process, I'm pleased to report that in…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…percentage basis. We are benefiting from a healthy mix of build-to-order and spec homes in our inventory, balancing the higher margin in our build-to-order business…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spec Home |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Toll Brothers say “Spec Home” on its last earnings call?
- Toll Brothers said “Spec Home” 4 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 4, 7, 2, 5, 5, 4 times.
- How often does Toll Brothers say “Spec Home”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Spec Home” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Spec Home” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Spec Home’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/spec-home (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=spec%20home · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP