Will Toll Brothers say “Lumber”?
Toll Brothers said “Lumber” 2 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Lumber” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Toll Brothers
Lumber
- Probability
- 67% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…remained relatively flat in the quarter, even as the cost of the lumber rose during the period. Turning to land, at third quarter end, we…
Hey, Trevor, this is Seth. Our build costs are flat. Lumber is slightly up and a potential headwind, but those cost increases have been offset…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…building costs remained flat in the quarter, even with the cost of lumber rising in the period. Turning to land, at second quarter end, we…
…implied, down in a lot of circumstances to offset some of the lumber prices. We've seen very modest impacts, if any, from tariffs. We are…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…downward pressure, downward move, downward improvement on building costs, but it's small. Lumber right now is a little bit of a headwind, but there's other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Toll Brothers say “Lumber” on its last earnings call?
- Toll Brothers said “Lumber” 2 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 2 times.
- How often does Toll Brothers say “Lumber”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Lumber” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Lumber” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Lumber’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/lumber (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=lumber · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP