Will Toll Brothers say “Incentive”?

Toll Brothers said “Incentive” 12 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 11, 12, 8, 10, 7, 10, 12 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Incentive” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

95%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Toll Brothers

Incentive

Probability
95% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

12 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karl MistrycompanypreparedIn transcript

…this backdrop, we are pleased that we were able to increase sales by 5% year-over-year, modestly reduce incentives, and maintain our margins in the quarter.

Karl MistrycompanypreparedIn transcript

…among our buyer segments. Importantly, in this market, the higher the price of our homes, the lower the incentive as a percentage of sales price.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

10 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.

Doug YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…to a challenging demand environment with discipline, effectively balancing pace, price, and incentives to drive sales while maximizing returns. We are, quite simply, a more…

Karl MistrycompanypreparedIn transcript

…As Doug mentioned, in the quarter, we continued to operate with discipline, effectively balancing sales pace, price, and incentives to drive sales while maximizing returns.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 8 by speakers the rule does not count.

Douglas YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…balancing price and pace worked well in the first quarter. Our overall incentive remained flat compared to the fourth quarter at 8% of sales price.…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 9, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 10, 2024 · said 13 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 19, 2026IncentiveKalshiYes12

Questions

How many times did Toll Brothers say “Incentive” on its last earnings call?
Toll Brothers said “Incentive” 12 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 11, 12, 8, 10, 7, 10, 12 times.
How often does Toll Brothers say “Incentive”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Incentive” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026.
What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Incentive” next time?
95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Incentive’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/incentive (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=incentive · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP