Will Toll Brothers say “Tailwind”?
Toll Brothers did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Toll Brothers
Tailwind
- Probability
- 35% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…of millions of American families. The market is supported by strong demographic tailwinds driven by the millennial generation reaching its peak home buying years and…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…all real headwinds. The passage of time is a bit of a tailwind, right? It's just -- we're pretty far into this down cycle. If…
…down cycle, I think there's a great opportunity because of those long-term tailwinds to see some improvement. But I can't point to any data point…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…of the spec cell and settles, as I discussed, we have some tailwind on gross margin from mix. There's going to be more luxury delivering…
…was a little bit below what we expected in this quarter. In this past quarter, which was a little bit of a tailwind for us.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Tailwind |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Toll Brothers say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
- Toll Brothers did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Toll Brothers say “Tailwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Tailwind” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)
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