Will Toll Brothers say “California”?
Toll Brothers did not say “California” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 2, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “California” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Toll Brothers
California
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Boise, Las Vegas and Reno in our mountain region and all of California. Most of Florida seems to have found its footing, although Tampa remains…
…of our strategy here, much more attached product. And that's really the same on both coasts, both here in the Northeast and parts of California.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…East from Boston down to South Carolina as well as in Coastal California and Boise in the West. Among our buyer segments, we saw little…
…not $250,000 to $400,000, our first-time buyer is $450,000 to -- in California, we have first-time buyers at $1.5 million. They're older, they're more affluent,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…particular, and again, that may be a Chinese national, maybe Chinese American, but that buyer in particular, is still very strong for us in California.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | California |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 20, 2026 | California | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Toll Brothers say “California” on its last earnings call?
- Toll Brothers did not say “California” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 2, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Toll Brothers say “California”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “California” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Toll Brothers says “California” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/california (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP