Will Toll Brothers say “Dividend”?

Toll Brothers said “Dividend” 2 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 3, 4, 0, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Dividend” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Toll Brothers

Dividend

Probability
75% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Doug YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…improve. During the quarter, we returned approximately $231 million to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases while continuing to invest in the growth of our…

Karl MistrycompanyqaIn transcript

Then, our dividend, which has now been around for some time, is there and continues to grow on an annual basis. So, that is how…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Doug YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…our year-to-date total to approximately $226 million, and we raised our quarterly dividend. We continue to target $650 million of share repurchases in fiscal 2026.…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 9, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Douglas YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…billion and returned approximately $750 million to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends and generated a return on beginning equity of 17.6%. These are the…

Douglas YearleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…at the beginning of the year. We also paid $97 million in dividends. Dividends and buybacks have been and will continue to be an important…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 10, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 20, 2026DividendKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Toll Brothers say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
Toll Brothers said “Dividend” 2 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 3, 4, 0, 1, 2 times.
How often does Toll Brothers say “Dividend”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Toll Brothers said “Dividend” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Dividend” next time?
75%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)

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