Will Toll Brothers say “Headwind”?
Toll Brothers said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Toll Brothers
Headwind
- Probability
- 43% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Our build costs are flat. Lumber is slightly up and a potential headwind, but those cost increases have been offset with other modest reductions. And…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…but it's small. Lumber right now is a little bit of a headwind, but there's other costs that are coming down. But in terms of…
…comments from peers that weather has been a little bit of a headwind year-to-date. It doesn't sound like that's been the case for you, but…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…want to give up that 3% rate. So those are all real headwinds. The passage of time is a bit of a tailwind, right? It's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Headwind |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Toll Brothers say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Toll Brothers said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Toll Brothers say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Toll Brothers did not say “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Toll Brothers says “Headwind” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Toll Brothers: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOL/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=toll-brothers&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=toll-brothers&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP