Will Donald Trump say “Pentagon / Department of War”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pentagon / Department of War” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 11, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Pentagon / Department of War

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 7:59In transcript

…Department of Justice to work with DHS, Treasury, State and the Department of War to build out a single plan to dismantle organizations behind scam…

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 11, 2026Pentagon / Department of WarPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Pentagon / Department of War”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pentagon / Department of War” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 11, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pentagon / Department of War” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pentagon / Department of War’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/department-of-war-or-pentagon (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=department%20of%20war%20%2F%20pentagon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP