Will Donald Trump say “Pennsylvania / West Virginia”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pennsylvania / West Virginia” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Pennsylvania / West Virginia
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Jersey on the beach. Well, in in Butler, we had 115. Butler, Pennsylvania. That was an interesting time. We had 115. No, we have the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Pennsylvania / West Virginia | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pennsylvania / West Virginia”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pennsylvania / West Virginia” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pennsylvania / West Virginia” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pennsylvania / West Virginia’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pennsylvania-or-west-virginia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pennsylvania%20%2F%20west%20virginia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP