Will Donald Trump say “Hot / Hottest”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hot / Hottest” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hot / Hottest
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…than two years ago, our country was dead and now we're the hottest country anywhere in the world. Hottest in the world. And with our…
…"Thank you, God, very much. I appreciate it." So, but that's a hot story today. They want him to take down an ad. I only…
…ago, four years ago, dead. And now it's become one of the hottest industries in our country. We need steel. You always need steel. You…
…Two years ago, our country was dead, and now we have the hottest country anywhere in the world. Before I took office, we had the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Hot / Hottest |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Hot / Hottest | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Hottest / Hot | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hot / Hottest”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hot / Hottest” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hot / Hottest” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hot / Hottest’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hot-or-hottest (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hot%20%2F%20hottest · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP