Will Donald Trump say “401(k) / Dow”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “401(k) / Dow” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
401(k) / Dow
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…out and vote for these guys, you have to pick up your 401ks and check them out because they're 60 and 70% higher than what…
…have to, those of you, which is most of you that have 401ks, you have to do me one favor before you go out and…
…in, you have to do this. You have to look at your 401ks before you leave the house and just take a look and you'll…
…all-time records in just this short less than 2-year period. And your 401ks, you look like geniuses. And you didn't do a damn thing. I…
…record highs since the election less than two years ago. And your 401ks are exactly double, actually a little more than that now what they…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | 401(k) / Dow |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “401(k) / Dow”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “401(k) / Dow” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “401(k) / Dow” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘401(k) / Dow’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/401-k-or-dow (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=401%20k%20%2F%20dow · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP