# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-11 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-with-national-football-champions · as_of 2026-10-27T17:06:30Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-11 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-with-national-football-champions (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events with the 2026 National Football Champions scheduled for May 11, 2026.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Iran	iran	1	99	63	0.64	nYnnYnYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
401(k) / Dow	401 k|dow	1	0	0			1	1	0.53	hist	no
250 / 250th	250|250th	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Oval Office	oval office	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	114	65	0.57	nYnYYnYYnY	1	1	0.49	hist	no
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	1	37	21	0.57	YnYYYYYYYn	1	0	0.49	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	241	165	0.68	nnYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Job 7+ times	job#7	7	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Six Seven	six seven	1	20	8	0.4	nYnnYYYYYn	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Radical / Left	left|radical	1	0	0			1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Judge / Court	court|judge	1	0	0			1	1	0.4	hist	yes
Hot / Hottest	hot|hottest	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
UFC	ufc	1	22	10	0.45	nnYYYnnYnn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Hell 2+ times	hell#2	2	15	5	0.33	YnnnnYnYYn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Coach 15+ times	coach#15	15	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.32	hist	yes
World Cup	world cup	1	20	9	0.45	nYYnnnnYnn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Good Looking	good looking	1	6	1	0.17	nnYnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	yes
America / American 6+ times	america|american#6	6	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	no
Fantastic / Incredible / Tremendous 8+ times	fantastic|incredible|tremendous#8	8	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	yes
Football 8+ times	football#8	8	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Match / Game	game|match	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Run / Running	run|running	1	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	yes