Will Donald Trump say “Illegal alien” 5+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Illegal alien” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Illegal alien 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…secure border in American history. And in the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted into the United States. Record numbers of illegal…
…having in Atlanta. It's like a crime. Horrible. Which released the savage illegal alien monsters who murdered Georgia nursing student Lake and Riley. You know…
…Supreme Court of the United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals…
…of deadly sanctuary cities. He voted to give lavish welfare benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien criminals instructions on…
…poured through, totally unchecked, totally unvetted. In the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted to the United States. ZERO, RIGHT? Remember the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | Illegal alien 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Illegal alien 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Illegal alien” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Illegal alien 5+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Illegal alien 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/illegal-alien-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=illegal%20alien%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP