Will Donald Trump say “Vote” 15+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 15+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2024 (50%), most recently on Oct 23, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Vote 15+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…unbelievable state, but we won this state two years ago with more votes than any candidate in the history of Georgia. We got the We…
…I won. You know, we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions…
…What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any candidate in political history. Catch it. And I want you…
…great big beautiful state which I won all three times with more votes. I don't want to say this to I don't want to say…
…is there a reason you can think of medically, why do people vote -- (Laughter) But there should be no reason. In fact, you'd think…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | Vote 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Vote 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vote 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 15+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2024 (50%), most recently on Oct 23, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vote 15+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vote 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/vote-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=vote%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP