Will Donald Trump say “Hottest Country”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hottest Country” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (71%), most recently on Sep 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hottest Country
- Probability
- 41% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…than two years ago, our country was dead and now we're the hottest country anywhere in the world. Hottest in the world. And with our…
was dead. And now we have the hottest country anywhere in the world. They say it. We have the hottest We have the hottest country…
…country, we thought it was a dead country. Now you have the hottest country anywhere in the world. We're the hottest country in the world…
…Two years ago, our country was dead, and now we have the hottest country anywhere in the world. Before I took office, we had the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Hottest Country |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hottest country | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Hottest country | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Hottest Country | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Hottest Country | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Hottest Country | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Hottest Country | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hottest Country”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hottest Country” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 5, 2025 (71%), most recently on Sep 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hottest Country” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hottest Country’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hottest-country (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hottest%20country · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP