Will Donald Trump say “China” 15+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “China” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
China 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the single greatest investment into a country in history. And that includes China and all the rest I love. And thanks to my tariffs, we…
…David Purdue won that election. Really? Who is now your ambassador to China and doing very he's very happy. It was a shocker and we're…
…fake news says, "Why does he spend time on the white?" Well, I don't like having the head of China come into the White House
…in the United States of America. We don't want you going to China. We don't want you going to Japan. We don't want you going…
…say that a very important element is the fact that Russia and China have not participated or participated in a much smaller way than they…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | China 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “China 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “China” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “China 15+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘China 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/china-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=china%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP