Will Donald Trump say “West Virginia”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “West Virginia” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
West Virginia
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…where they have them, they're making counties that were dying. You know, West Virginia is West Virginia will take whatever you don't want. But other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | West Virginia |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 30, 2025 | West Virginia | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “West Virginia”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “West Virginia” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “West Virginia” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘West Virginia’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/west-virginia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=west%20virginia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP