# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-05-30 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-pittsburgh-rally-on-may-30 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-30 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-pittsburgh-rally-on-may-30 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transgender	transgender	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.57	hist	no
Deport	deport	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.56	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	8	4	0.5	nnYYnYYn	0.54	hist	no
Baby	baby	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.48	hist	yes
Tariff 10+ times	tariff#10	10	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.47	hist	yes
Alaska	alaska	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Good looking	good looking	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	no
Capone	capone	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.45	hist	no
Coal	coal	1	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	no
NAFTA	nafta	1	10	4	0.4	YnnYnnYYnn	0.41	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	33	9	0.27	YYYnYnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	94	5	0.05	nnnYnnnnYn	0.13	hist	no
China 15+ times	china#15	15	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Google	google	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Hell 7+ times	hell#7	7	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Japan 5+ times	japan#5	5	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Laughingstock	laughingstock	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Mon Valley	mon valley	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Shinzo	shinzo	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Steel mill	steel mill	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
West Virginia	west virginia	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Deficit	deficit	1	3	2	0.67	YnY