Will Donald Trump say “Prize”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Prize” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Prize
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I've settled eight wars. Think of that. Did I get the Nobel Prize? No. DID I GET THE NOBEL PRIZE? EXCUSE ME. BYRON, did you…
…other president ever. Ever. And they've never given you the Nobel Peace Prize, by the way, which is a disgrace. So, what I came up…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Kosovo. I settled all these wars and they gave the wonderful peace prize, right? Does anybody know the name of that peace prize? The peace…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Prize”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Prize” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Prize” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Prize’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/prize (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=prize · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP