# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · posts_window by 2026-04-26 (settled) · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-post-this-week-april-21-april-26 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:37:15Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 posts window transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-post-this-week-april-21-april-26 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-21T04:05:46Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	102	58	0.57	nYYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.61	hist	0	0	no	1
AG / Attorney General	ag|attorney general	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no	1
Trump Derangement Syndrome	trump derangement syndrome	9	6	0.67	nnYYYYYYn	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no	1
Trump Strait / Strait of Trump	strait of trump|trump strait	0	0			1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump	gulf of america|gulf of trump	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	1	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Prize	prize	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	0	0			1	1	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
RINO	rino	6	2	0.33	nnnnYY	1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	no	1
UFC	ufc	20	9	0.45	nnnnYYYnnn	1	0	0.39	hist	0	0	no	1
ICE	ice	25	8	0.32	nnnYYYnYYn	1	1	0.39	hist	0	0	yes	1
Pope / Leo	leo|pope	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.38	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ass	ass	10	4	0.4	nnYYnYnnnY	1	0	0.36	hist	0	0	yes	1
Epic Fury	epic fury	36	15	0.42	YYnYYnYnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	0	0	no	1
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	130	51	0.39	YnnnnnnnYn	1	1	0.29	hist	0	0	no	1
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA	make iran great again|miga	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.28	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	344	36	0.1	Ynnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.23	hist	0	0	no	1
Free Tina Peters	free tina peter	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.22	hist	0	0	no	1
Art	art	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Art of the Deal	art of the deal	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Springsteen	springsteen	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Third Rate / Third-Rate	third rate	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	0	0	no	1