# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-26 · 22 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV26 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:18:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-26 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Turkey Pardon Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	70	52	0.74	nnnYYYYnYn	0.72	hist	no
Biden	biden	112	86	0.77	nnYYYnYYYn	0.69	hist	yes
Grocery	grocery	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	35	19	0.54	YnYYYnnYYY	0.53	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	23	15	0.65	YnYnYnYYYY	0.52	hist	yes
Election	election	41	25	0.61	nnnYnYYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	78	39	0.5	nYYYYYnnnn	0.51	hist	yes
Rigged Election / Stolen Election	rigged election|stolen election	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.5	hist	no
Walmart	walmart	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.47	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.44	hist	yes
Radical Left / Far Left	far left|radical left	0	0			0.44	hist	yes
Trump	trump	25	12	0.48	YnYYYnnYnY	0.4	hist	yes
Pilgrim	pilgrim	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	23	9	0.39	YnnnnnnnYn	0.33	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	20	9	0.45	nnnYnYnYnn	0.32	hist	no
Egg	egg	15	4	0.27	YYnnnnnnnn	0.31	hist	yes
Cheaper	cheaper	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Gobble	gobble	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Lucky	lucky	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Second Chance	second chance	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Stuffing	stuffing	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Waddle	waddle	0	0			0.41	prior	yes