White House press briefing, Feb 19, 2025
Kalshi What will Karoline Leavitt say during her briefing on Feb 12, 2025?
Markets
18 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: role: press secretary Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gaza | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paper Straw | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tulsi / Gabbard | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cryptocurrency / Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eric Adams | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golden Age | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSECPRESSMENTION-25AUG12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP