Will “Eric Adams” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Eric Adams” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Eric Adams
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Eric Adams |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Eric Adams | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Eric Adams | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Eric Adams” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Eric Adams” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Eric Adams” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Eric Adams’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/eric-adam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=eric%20adam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP