Will “Woke” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Woke” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

32%from settlement history only · n=6counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Woke

Probability
32% · n=6
Settled
0/6 (0%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 19:28In transcript

…problems under the Biden administration because people didn't want to join a woke military. And what I mean is, they didn't want to join any…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 22, 2025WokeKalshiNo–
May 29, 2025WokeKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2025WokeKalshiNo0
Feb 21, 2025WokeKalshiNo–
Feb 19, 2025WokeKalshiNo–
Jan 31, 2025WokeKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Woke” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Woke” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2025.
What is the probability “Woke” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Woke’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/woke (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=woke · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP