Will “Super Bowl” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Super Bowl” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Super Bowl
- Probability
- 35% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Super Bowl |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Super Bowl | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Super Bowl” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Super Bowl” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Super Bowl” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Super Bowl’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/super-bowl (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=super%20bowl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP