Will “DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (33%), most recently on Mar 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

35%from settlement history only · n=12counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

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White House press briefing

DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency

Probability
35% · n=12
Settled
4/12 (33%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 22, 2025DOGE/Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo–
May 9, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo0
Apr 9, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo0
Mar 31, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo–
Mar 17, 2025DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency / DogeKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Mar 11, 2025DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency / DogeKalshiNo3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Feb 25, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiYes13
Feb 21, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo–
Feb 20, 2025DOGE/Department of Government EfficiencyPolymarketNo0
Feb 19, 2025DOGE / Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiYes–
Feb 12, 2025DOGE/Department of Government EfficiencyPolymarketYes–
Jan 31, 2025DOGE/Department of Government EfficiencyPolymarketNo–
Jan 31, 2025DOGE/Department of Government EfficiencyKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (33%), most recently on Mar 17, 2025.
What is the probability “DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/department-of-government-efficiency-or-doge (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=department%20of%20government%20efficiency%20%2F%20doge · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP