Will “Gaza” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Gaza” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025 (44%), most recently on Aug 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

41%from settlement history only · n=16counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

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White House press briefing

Gaza

Probability
41% · n=16
Settled
7/16 (44%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 22, 2025GazaKalshiNo–
Aug 20, 2025GazaKalshiYes2
Aug 13, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Jul 23, 2025GazaKalshiYes1
Jul 17, 2025GazaKalshiYes1
Jun 30, 2025GazaKalshiYes3
Jun 6, 2025GazaKalshiYes3
Jun 3, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Apr 28, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Apr 16, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Apr 10, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Apr 9, 2025GazaKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2025GAZAKalshiYes1
Feb 21, 2025GazaKalshiNo–
Feb 19, 2025GazaKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Gaza” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Gaza” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2025 (44%), most recently on Aug 20, 2025.
What is the probability “Gaza” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Gaza’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gaza (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gaza · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP