Will “Tulsi/Gabbard” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Tulsi/Gabbard” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (29%), most recently on Feb 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Tulsi/Gabbard
- Probability
- 35% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Tulsi/Gabbard |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Tulsi / Gabbard |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Tulsi / Gabbard | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Tulsi / Gabbard | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Tulsi/Gabbard | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Tulsi/Gabbard | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Tulsi/Gabbard | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Tulsi/Gabbard | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Tulsi/Gabbard” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Tulsi/Gabbard” was said at the White House press briefing on 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (29%), most recently on Feb 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Tulsi/Gabbard” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Tulsi/Gabbard’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gabbard-or-tulsi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gabbard%20%2F%20tulsi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP