What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Social Worker” next time?

39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Social Worker”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Social Worker” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Social Worker” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 07:06 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Social Worker

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 press conferences: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…some of the key campaign promises, like building out an army of social workers, greeters on the subway system? And is the plan, as you've…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.