Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 72%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Shelter | Yes | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Emergency | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | Yes | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Plow / Plowing | Yes | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Snow | Yes | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | Yes | 18%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Property Tax | No | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 55%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 41%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 34%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 28%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP