Zohran Mamdani: Rally, Oct 27, 2025
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during the New York Is Not For Sale Rally?
Markets
20 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queens | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grocery 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taxi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homeless | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crime | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inequality | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kathy / Hochul | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minimum Wage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No King | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subway | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Worker | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Transgender | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP