What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Grocery (2+ times)” next time?

37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Grocery” 2+ times?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Grocery (2+ times)” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Grocery” 2+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 27, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 0.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:02 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Grocery (2+ times)

Probability: 37% · n=2
Settled: 1/2 (50%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kathy HochulotherMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…cover their other expenses, as we understand them to be very high: groceries, utility bills, rent and mortgage payments. Well, this is one thing they…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…neighborhood. So, alongside the development of what will be the first city-run grocery store that will open up in that neighborhood to ensure that food…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…day, they still can't afford their rent; they still can't afford their groceries; they still can't afford their childcare. And I'm hopeful for Democrats across…