What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Taxi” next time?

50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Taxi”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Taxi” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Taxi” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

50%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 23:45 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Taxi

Probability: 50% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…space in our parks, roughly 12,000 bodegas and more than 12,000 yellow taxis. The crystal ball in Times Square that drops on New Year's Eve…