Will “Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

30%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 9 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=redistrict%20%2F%20redistricted%20%2F%20redistricting

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted

Probability
30% · n=9
Settled
0/9 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 7, 2026Redistrict / Redistricting / RedistrictedKalshiNo0
Oct 5, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo0
Jun 30, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2026Redistrict / Redistricting / RedistrictedKalshiNo–
May 28, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo–
May 26, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo–
May 20, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo–
May 20, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo–
Feb 6, 2026Redistrict / Redistricting / RedistrictedKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted” is said on The Last Word next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/redistrict-or-redistricted-or-redistricting (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=redistrict%20%2F%20redistricted%20%2F%20redistricting · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP