# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-07-20 · 13 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL20 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:04:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hakeem Jeffries says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	1	38	19	0.5	YYnYnYYnYn	0.7	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	9	7	0.78	YYYYYYYnn	0.67	hist	yes
Election	election	1	20	10	0.5	YnYYYnYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	27	13	0.48	YnnnnYYnYY	0.61	hist	yes
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	1	27	5	0.19	nnnnYnnnnn	0.58	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	16	6	0.38	YYnnnnYnnn	0.57	hist	yes
Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	14	8	0.57	YYYnnYnnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	23	9	0.39	nnYnnnnnnn	0.4	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	9	1	0.11	nnnnYnnnn	0.4	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.29	hist	no
War Powers	war power	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no