Tom Homan: Press conference, Feb 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference?
Markets
14 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 76%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Walz / Frey | Yes | 76%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Violent / Violence | Yes | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cooperate / Cooperation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deport / Deportation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Body Cam / Body Camera | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | Yes | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | Yes | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 76%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Noem / Bovino | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gun / Armed | No | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOMANMENTION-26FEB13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP