Will Tom Homan say “Peace / Peaceful”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Tom Homan said “Peace / Peaceful” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

56%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Peace / Peaceful

Probability
56% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

AMBASSADOR MICHAEL LEITERotherFace the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026 · Jul 12, 2026In transcript

And he saw – he had a vision for peace in the Middle East. And, absolutely, we have to work toward that end. But it…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 13, 2026Peace / PeacefulKalshiYes
Feb 5, 2026Peace / PeacefulKalshiNo
Jan 31, 2026Peace / PeacefulKalshiNo
Jan 30, 2026Peace / PeacefulKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Peace / Peaceful”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Tom Homan said “Peace / Peaceful” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Peace / Peaceful” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Peace / Peaceful’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/peace-or-peaceful (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=peace%20%2F%20peaceful · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP