Will Tom Homan say “Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

34%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=obstruct%20%2F%20obstructing%20%2F%20obstruction

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction

Probability
34% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 16, 2026Obstruct / Obstructing / ObstructionKalshiNo
Feb 13, 2026Obstruct / Obstructing / ObstructionKalshiNo
Feb 5, 2026Obstruct / Obstructing / ObstructionKalshiNo
Jan 31, 2026Obstruct / Obstructing / ObstructionKalshiNo
Jan 30, 2026Obstruct / Obstructing / ObstructionKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/obstruct-or-obstructing-or-obstruction (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=obstruct%20%2F%20obstructing%20%2F%20obstruction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP