Will Tom Homan say “Body Camera / Body Cam”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “Body Camera / Body Cam” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Body Camera / Body Cam
- Probability
- 30% · n=11
- Settled
- 4/11 (36%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
I think body – yes, I think body cameras are the way to go. I think body cameras let the American people know what that…
And if you look at the data, body cameras actually exonerate agents more than they, you know, provide evidence of wrongdoing.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Body Camera / Body Cam | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Body Cam / Body Camera | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Body Camera / Body Cam”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “Body Camera / Body Cam” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Body Camera / Body Cam” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Body Camera / Body Cam’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/body-cam-or-body-camera (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=body%20cam%20%2F%20body%20camera · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP