Will Tom Homan say “Biden”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Biden” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (44%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

56%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=biden

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Biden

Probability
56% · n=9
Settled
4/9 (44%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 19, 2026 · Jul 19, 2026In transcript

…Jay Clayton on who won the 2020 election, and he said Joe Biden was certified as president. Is that sufficient for you? Do you intend…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026 · Jul 12, 2026In transcript

…he'd met Friday with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. He pressed both Trump and Biden administrations to get tougher on Russia, stay close to Israel, and he…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 22, 2026BidenKalshiYes–
Aug 16, 2026BidenKalshiYes–
Jul 19, 2026BidenKalshiNo0
Jul 12, 2026BidenKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 6, 2026BidenKalshiYes–
Apr 22, 2026BidenKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Mar 29, 2026BidenKalshiNo–
Feb 16, 2026BidenKalshiNo–
Feb 13, 2026BidenKalshiNo–
Feb 5, 2026BidenKalshiYes–
Jan 31, 2026BidenKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Biden” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (44%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Biden” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP