Will Tom Homan say “Protest / Protester”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Protest / Protester” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (43%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

40%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Protest / Protester

Probability
40% · n=7
Settled
3/7 (43%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Tom HomanguestFace the Nation (CBS), July 19, 2026 · Jul 19, 2026In transcript

…that you see every day, especially in sanctuary cities and at these protests that resist. Members of Congress saying ICE isn't a real law enforcement…

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 22, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiNo
Mar 26, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiNo
Feb 16, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiNo
Feb 13, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiNo
Feb 5, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiYes
Jan 31, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiYes
Jan 30, 2026Protest / ProtesterKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Protest / Protester”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Protest / Protester” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (43%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Protest / Protester” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Protest / Protester’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/protest-or-protester (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=protest%20%2F%20protester · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP