Will Tom Homan say “Protest / Protester”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Protest / Protester” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (43%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceTom Homan
Protest / Protester
- Probability
- 40% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that you see every day, especially in sanctuary cities and at these protests that resist. Members of Congress saying ICE isn't a real law enforcement…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Yes | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Yes | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Protest / Protester”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Protest / Protester” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (43%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Protest / Protester” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Protest / Protester’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/protest-or-protester (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=protest%20%2F%20protester · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP