# Tom Homan (tom-homan) · presser 2026-02-13 · 14 words · K k:KXHOMANMENTION-26FEB13 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:15:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-13 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHOMANMENTION-26FEB13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tom Homan says {word} as part of Press Conference on February 12th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	no
Walz / Frey	frey|walz	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	yes
Noem / Bovino	bovino|noem	1	1	1	Y	0.68	hist	no
Gun / Armed	armed|gun	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.65	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.65	hist	yes
Violent / Violence	violence|violent	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.65	hist	yes
Biden	biden	2	1	0.5	nY	0.58	hist	no
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.5	hist	yes
Obstruct / Obstructing / Obstruction	obstruct|obstructing|obstruction	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.48	hist	no
Peace / Peaceful	peace|peaceful	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.48	hist	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.48	hist	yes
Cooperate / Cooperation	cooperate|cooperation	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	0	0			0.59	prior	yes